Options Income Academy Blog

Weekend Update & Market Outlook 9/27/26

The Treasury tried to sell $70 billion of 5-year notes and got the weakest demand since 2018. The 5-year yield crossed 5% for the first time since 2007 — and the Nasdaq-100 set a record anyway.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 10/11/26

The S&P 500 set a record this week. The Russell 2000 fell for the eighth week in a row. Only about one in four S&P members is above its 50-day, down from roughly 68% in August, and the 30-year just hit its highest yield since 2002.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 10/4/26

The Nasdaq closed at a record while only 24.7% of S&P 500 members trade above their 50-day. Every data point last week was dovish and long rates rose anyway. The equity risk premium just went negative.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 9/20/26

The Fed hiked 25bp to 3.75-4.00%, its first increase since 2023. But the dot plot was the real event: no net easing through 2027, and 16 of 18 officials want at least one more hike this year.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 9/13/26

Oil hit $108 and the 10-year neared 5%, driving four straight down days. Friday's CPI ran hot underneath but stocks rallied anyway. A rate hike is now 85-90% priced — the dot plot is the real event.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 9/6/26

August payrolls tripled expectations at 162,000 and stocks fell on the news. July's reported job loss was revised to a gain. CPI on Friday decides a live Fed meeting.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 8/29/26

Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote pushed September hike odds from 35% to 58%. But the long end fell while the 2-year spiked its most this century, and the Russell 2000 broke below 3,000.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 8/23/26

The 30-year Treasury hit its highest yield since 2007 and ended a three-week rally. Fed minutes showed several officials wanted a hike. Walmart beat, raised guidance, and fell 9% anyway.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 8/16/26

The inflation scare didn't happen — CPI landed on consensus and PPI fell from 5.5% to 4.7%. Then retail sales dropped 0.6% and sentiment hit 51. The risk just rotated from inflation to the consumer.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 8/9/26

The S&P 500 rallied 3.58% to a record close on a jobs report showing the economy shed 23,000 positions. With the Fed openly weighing a hike, bad news is being bought. Wednesday's July CPI decides September.

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 8/1/26

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 7/26/26

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 7/18/26

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 7/12/26

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 7/5/26

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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 6/27/26

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Weekend Market Update — June 20, 2026

A strong but narrow week — SPX tagged a fresh high at 7,500 on tech and semiconductor leadership while small caps lagged. Oil collapsed ~13% on a U.S.–Iran framework and the new Warsh-led Fed held rates with a hawkish tilt. Next week: May PCE Friday, Micron and FedEx earnings.

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Weekend Market Update — June 14, 2026

Markets whipsawed this week — a mid-week washout on 4.2% CPI and Iran war escalation, followed by a sharp two-session reversal on peace deal hopes. SPX closed +0.65% at 7,431. Next week: FOMC June 16-17, Kevin Warsh's first press conference as Fed Chair.

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